Skills Data Science Prediction Market Intelligence Briefing

Prediction Market Intelligence Briefing

v20260704
ito-market-intelligence
This skill provides comprehensive, read-only market intelligence for prediction markets. It helps users research market events, compare different venues (like Polymarket, Kalshi), analyze liquidity, and understand underlying assets. It generates source-grounded briefings, emphasizing context and data quality, and strictly avoids providing investment or trading advice.
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Overview

Itô Market Intelligence

Use this skill when a user wants prediction-market context, event discovery, venue comparison, basket theme exploration, or an Itô API-backed market brief.

This is a public teaser skill. It can work with public sources by default. Any Itô-backed data call requires explicit API access through ITO_API_KEY.

Guardrails

  • Do not provide investment, legal, tax, or trading advice.
  • Do not place, cancel, route, or simulate live orders.
  • Do not infer the user's financial situation unless they provide it.
  • Treat Polymarket, Kalshi, Itô, X, Exa, GitHub, and web data as source inputs, not as truth by themselves.
  • Separate facts, market-implied signals, and your interpretation.

Workflow

  1. Clarify the market theme, venue, geography, and time horizon.
  2. Gather public market data from venue docs/APIs or source-grounded research.
  3. If ITO_API_KEY is present and the user explicitly asks for Itô data, call only read endpoints and state that access is gated.
  4. Normalize event, underlier, liquidity, fee, resolution, and data-latency differences across venues.
  5. Produce a decision brief:
    • market/event summary
    • available venues and underliers
    • liquidity and data-quality caveats
    • relevant news/source context
    • open questions before any user action

Useful Skill Chains

  • Use deep-research or exa-search for source discovery.
  • Use x-api for public social signal discovery when X access is configured.
  • Use market-research for market sizing, competitors, or business use cases.
  • Use prediction-market-risk-review before any workflow touches user capital, portfolio data, or execution-capable credentials.

Output Contract

Default to a compact brief with source links and a clear caveat:

This is market intelligence, not investment or trading advice.

If access is missing, say:

Itô live basket/API data requires gated access. Request an ITO_API_KEY before
using Itô-backed reads.
Info
Category Data Science
Name ito-market-intelligence
Version v20260704
Size 2.3KB
Updated At 2026-07-09
Language