Skill UI

Monte Carlo Treasury is a risk modeling helper that simulates cash flows and liquidity scenarios for corporate treasuries using Monte Carlo techniques, so finance teams can assess funding needs, stress-test portfolios, and optimize capital buffers.

This sophisticated framework enables cross-functional 'what-if' scenario modeling. Unlike simple stress tests, it maps compounding adversity across all business domains (Finance, Product, Engineering, etc.). Use it when facing complex, multi-variable risks or making strategic decisions with significant downside potential, allowing teams to map cascading failure paths and define proactive hedges.

This methodology provides a structured framework for stress-testing critical business assumptions before they fail in the market. Learn to systematically identify, challenge, and model the downside risk associated with market size, revenue projections, competitive moats, and customer behavior. It moves beyond optimism to achieve crucial business calibration.

Audits Brazilian property auctions by scoring 36-point legal, financial, operational risks, running four-scenario stress tests, and weighing ROI by risk to recommend whether to bid.

This skill guides users through a structured, three-phase process to transform vague, raw ideas into sharp, actionable concepts. It utilizes structured thinking (divergent brainstorming, convergent evaluation, and assumption stress-testing) to define the core problem, validate assumptions, scope the Minimum Viable Product (MVP), and articulate clear trade-offs (Not Doing list). Ideal for product managers, entrepreneurs, and strategists needing concrete direction.

A structured system for exploring uncertain futures by mapping the full possibility space. Instead of a single prediction, it generates 4-6 distinct branches (Best, Worst, Wild Card, etc.). Use this tool for contingency planning, stress-testing complex decisions, or analyzing speculative "what if" questions to derive actionable intelligence and map second-order consequences.

This skill simulates a rigorous review by a Chief Financial Officer (CFO) to stress-test any major plan that involves spending or fundraising. It forces consideration of critical financial metrics such as burn rate, unit economics, dilution path, and capital allocation alternatives. Use this when evaluating new expenditures, hiring waves, or funding decisions to ensure financial viability and sustainable growth.