Skill UI

This skill provides comprehensive guidance and established patterns for conducting rigorous scientific research and complex data analysis. It helps users structure their thinking process, ensuring a systematic and methodical approach to scholarly inquiry. Ideal for academic projects, literature reviews, and complex data interpretation.

A rigorous framework for making evidence-based estimates and forecasts when precise data is unavailable. It guides users to anchor predictions on base rates, articulate uncertainty using confidence intervals, and systematically update beliefs using likelihood ratios (prior to posterior) as new evidence arrives. Ideal for risk sizing, project timelines, and strategic decision-making.