Skills Data Science Empirical Design for Finance Manuscript

Empirical Design for Finance Manuscript

v20260724
finman-empirical-design
This guide outlines the rigorous methodological standards required for empirical finance manuscripts. It covers essential details from sample construction (attrition tables, survivorship bias) to variable definition, merge integrity, and appropriate statistical inference (clustering, panel structure). Use this to harden your data layer and ensure your methodology is robust enough to pass peer review in top finance journals.
Get Skill
68 downloads
Overview

Empirical Design (finman-empirical-design)

When to trigger

  • The sample comes from CRSP / Compustat / a vendor feed and the screens and survivorship choices are not documented
  • A key variable (leverage, payout, governance index, a return measure) has several definitions and you picked one without justification
  • The panel mixes frequencies, has look-ahead bias, or merges datasets on a fragile key
  • Standard errors are reported but the clustering and cross-sectional/time dependence are not justified

The FM empirical-design bar

FM publishes empirical finance across corporate, asset-pricing, and banking data, so the design layer is judged on whether a competent referee could reconstruct your sample and trust your measures. The journal's "less weight on trivial robustness" stance is a double-edged sword: it means you should not bury the paper in redundant checks, but it raises the premium on getting the primary design right the first time — the screens, the variable definitions, the merge, and the inference. FM referees in corporate finance are especially alert to silent sample screens, point-in-time vs. restated accounting data, and clustering that ignores the panel's dependence structure.

The data-layer audit

Layer What FM referees check Common failure
Sample frame universe, date range, every screen stated with counts dropped "standard filters" with no attrition table
Survivorship / look-ahead delisted firms retained; accounting data point-in-time using restated Compustat as if known contemporaneously
Variable construction each key variable defined, winsorization level stated, source field named a leverage measure that silently switches book/market
Merge integrity join keys, match rate, unmatched-firm bias CRSP-Compustat merge with an unreported low match rate
Panel structure frequency, balanced vs. unbalanced, entry/exit handling mixing annual and quarterly without stating it
Inference clustering level justified by the dependence; few-cluster / two-way addressed white SEs on a firm-year panel with serial correlation

Hardening sequence

  1. Build the attrition table. Start from the raw universe and report the count dropped at each screen; this single exhibit answers most sample-construction doubts.
  2. Pin every key variable to a source field and a definition. State winsorization (typically 1%/99%) and why; if a variable has competing definitions, justify yours and note the alternative goes to the appendix.
  3. Defend point-in-time discipline. For accounting variables, use data as it would have been known; for returns, avoid look-ahead in signal construction.
  4. Justify the clustering. Cluster at the level where the shocks are correlated (firm, industry, state); use two-way (firm and time) when both dimensions have common shocks; address few-cluster with wild-cluster bootstrap.
  5. Report power/economic scale. State N, the dependent-variable mean, and the standard-deviation-scaled effect so a reader sees the magnitude in context.

Execution bridge (StatsPAI / Stata MCP)

Run the asset-pricing battery, don't just specify it. Full map: execution-with-mcp. Financial Management is empirical corporate finance + asset pricing; corporate-causal chain (DiD/IV/RDD) plus the factor-zoo haircut for cross-sectional pricing.

  • Factor regressions / time-series alphas: feols with the right SEs (Newey–West / clustered) — read the alpha and t off the return.
  • Factor-zoo haircut: after disclosing how many signals were screened, apply romano_wolf / benjamini_hochberg and report the alpha that survives.
  • Fama–MacBeth + Shanken EIV are Stata-canonical — run via mcp__stata-mcp__stata_do with the vendored resources/code/ (asreg / xtfmb).
  • Exhibits: etable; hand formatting to the tables/figures skill.

Report the economic magnitude (bps/month alpha, Sharpe gain); full factor grid → appendix. JF execution walkthrough.

Checklist

  • Attrition table from raw universe to estimation sample, with counts per screen
  • Every key variable defined, winsorization stated, source field named
  • Survivorship and look-ahead bias addressed (point-in-time accounting; clean signals)
  • Merge keys and match rate reported; unmatched-firm bias discussed
  • Panel frequency and balanced/unbalanced status stated; entry/exit handled
  • Clustering level justified; two-way / few-cluster handled where needed
  • Dependent-variable mean and N reported so magnitudes are interpretable

Anti-patterns

  • "We apply standard filters" with no attrition table or counts
  • Restated accounting data used as if it were known at the time (look-ahead)
  • A leverage / payout / governance measure that silently switches definition across tables
  • CRSP-Compustat (or vendor) merges with an unreported or low match rate
  • White / homoskedastic SEs on a firm-year panel with obvious serial and cross-sectional dependence
  • Reporting only t-statistics with no dependent-variable mean to anchor the magnitude

Worked vignette (illustrative)

A draft studies payout on a "standard Compustat sample" with white standard errors. A referee cannot reconstruct it. The FM fix: add Table 1 Panel A as an attrition table (raw universe → drop financials/utilities → drop missing payout → final N), define payout precisely as dividends-plus-repurchases over assets winsorized at 1%/99%, switch to standard errors clustered by firm and year (the panel has both firm persistence and common market shocks), and report the dependent-variable mean so the coefficient's economic size is legible. The design is now reconstructable and the inference defensible.

Data-source notes specific to finance

  • Compustat: beware restated data — use point-in-time (PIT) snapshots for accounting variables that signals are built from; flag any look-ahead in the merge.
  • CRSP: retain delisted securities and apply delisting returns; survivorship bias from dropping them inflates many results.
  • CRSP–Compustat link: report the link table used and the match rate; unmatched firms skew toward small/young/foreign issuers.
  • Vendor / hand-collected data (governance, syndicated loans, microstructure): describe coverage, the time window, and any sample selection the vendor's universe imposes — FM referees ask "what is not in this dataset?"
  • Returns: state whether returns are gross or net, the holding-period convention, and how microcaps/penny stocks are treated.

Referee pushback mapped to the design fix

  • "I can't reproduce your sample." → Add the attrition table from the raw universe with counts dropped per screen.
  • "Your accounting variable uses restated data." → Switch to point-in-time data and say so in the note.
  • "The standard errors look too small." → Justify and report two-way (or wild-cluster) standard errors matched to the panel's dependence.
  • "Is this effect economically meaningful?" → Report the dependent-variable mean and a one-SD-scaled effect.

When the design choice is itself the contribution

Some FM papers earn their place through a measurement or sample-construction innovation — a cleaner proxy, a newly merged dataset, a hand-collected sample. When that is the contribution:

  • Validate the new measure against an external benchmark or a known case, not just internal consistency.
  • Show what it captures that prior proxies miss, with a side-by-side comparison.
  • Document construction in painstaking detail in the internet appendix, because the measure is the asset and referees will probe it.
  • Connect the measurement gain to a substantive finding — a better proxy is interesting at FM only if it changes what we conclude about a decision-relevant question.

Output format

【Sample frame】universe + date range + screens (attrition table? [Y/N])
【Key variables】defined + winsorized + source fields named? [Y/N]
【Bias controls】survivorship / look-ahead handled? [Y/N]
【Merge】keys + match rate reported? [Y/N]
【Inference】clustering level justified; two-way/few-cluster handled? [Y/N]
【Magnitude】dep-var mean + N reported? [Y/N]
【Next skill】finman-robustness
Info
Category Data Science
Name finman-empirical-design
Version v20260724
Size 8.68KB
Updated At 2026-07-28
Language