Skill UI

PyMC is a powerful Python library for probabilistic programming and advanced Bayesian inference. This comprehensive guide details the full workflow for building, fitting, and validating complex Bayesian models. Learn to implement hierarchical structures, perform MCMC sampling (NUTS), conduct posterior predictive checks (PPC), and effectively quantify uncertainty using industry best practices.

PyMC is a powerful Python library designed for probabilistic programming and sophisticated Bayesian modeling. It enables users to build complex models, such as hierarchical structures and time series, and perform rigorous inference using methods like MCMC (NUTS) sampling and Variational Inference. Key features include model comparison (LOO, WAIC) and comprehensive diagnostic tools for uncertainty quantification.

scvi-tools is a comprehensive Python framework utilizing deep generative models and variational inference for analyzing diverse single-cell data modalities. It excels in complex analyses such as probabilistic batch correction (scVI), multi-modal integration (MultiVI), and differential expression analysis with uncertainty. It supports single-cell RNA-seq, ATAC-seq, and various multi-omics datasets, providing advanced tools for modern genomic research.

Utilizes Google's TimesFM foundation model for zero-shot time series forecasting. It processes any univariate time series (e.g., sales, sensor data, weather) without requiring custom model training. The skill provides probabilistic forecasts with calibrated prediction intervals (quantiles) and includes a mandatory system checker to ensure sufficient RAM, GPU, and disk resources for safe local inference.

This guide helps researchers determine the most appropriate conference (UAI, AISTATS, NeurIPS, ICML, etc.) for their work, particularly when the core contribution revolves around uncertainty representation, probabilistic reasoning, or causal inference. It provides detailed filters and comparison points to refine the paper's scope and target audience.

A specialized guide for authors aiming to submit to the Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI). It provides expert advice on framing the core contribution—such as probabilistic reasoning, causal inference, and uncertainty modeling—and calibrating the manuscript for highly technical, statistical ML reviewers. Use this skill to refine your submission strategy, identify evidence gaps, and properly position your work relative to other top-tier AI venues like AISTATS and IJCAI.