技能 理论模型与证明架构指南

理论模型与证明架构指南

v20260724
aejmic-theory-model
本技能提供一套严谨的微观经济学理论建模和证明架构框架,旨在帮助用户撰写达到顶级学术期刊(如AEJ: Micro)标准的论文。它指导用户如何构建最小化、动机化的模型初元,选择并论证合适的均衡概念,并制定严密的证明策略,确保研究结果的普遍性、可解释性和深刻的经济学意义。
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Theory Model & Proof Architecture (aejmic-theory-model)

This is the central skill for AEJ: Micro. The journal is theory-first: the deliverable is a clean, general, well-motivated result — a theorem, characterization, or impossibility — that a broad microeconomics audience finds illuminating. Get the model and the proof right before anything else.

When to trigger

  • The primitives (players, actions, information, timing, payoffs) are not yet pinned down
  • The equilibrium / solution concept is unstated or mismatched to the question
  • A result is conjectured but the proof strategy is unclear or fragile
  • You are trading generality against tractability and cannot decide where to cut
  • A referee questions which assumption the result actually depends on (then pair with aejmic-identification)

The AEJ: Micro modeling bar

AEJ: Micro wants the economics to be the point: the model should be the simplest environment in which the mechanism is visible, and the result should travel beyond the example. It sits between JET/GEB (specialist, often maximal generality) and AEJ: Applied (empirical). Aim for a result that a non-specialist micro theorist can state in one sentence and that a specialist finds non-obvious.

1. Model setup — make primitives minimal and motivated

  • State players, action sets, information structure, timing, and payoffs explicitly; flag every assumption that is substantive vs. WLOG.
  • Prefer the minimal environment that exhibits the mechanism; add structure only when it earns its keep in the result.
  • Motivate each non-standard assumption economically (an institution, a friction), not just for tractability.

2. Equilibrium / solution concept — name it and justify it

  • Pick the concept that matches the question: Nash / subgame-perfect / sequential / PBE; dominant-strategy or Bayesian incentive compatibility (mechanism design); stability / core (matching, market design); rationalizability or level-k (behavioral).
  • State existence and, where it matters, uniqueness (or characterize the equilibrium set). Refinements should be justified, not invoked to rescue a result.

3. Proof strategy — choose the architecture before writing it

  • Common architectures: construction (exhibit the object), revelation principle then optimize over direct mechanisms, fixed-point / monotone-comparative-statics (Topkis, single-crossing), duality / LP (information design, Bayesian persuasion), induction on type/stage, variational / first-order arguments, impossibility by contradiction.
  • For a characterization, prove both directions; for an optimum, verify the candidate is global (not just a local/first-order point).

4. Generality vs. tractability — decide deliberately

  • A finite/binary type space that exposes the mechanism cleanly often beats a continuum that buries it. State the cost: what does the simplification rule out?
  • If the general case is the contribution, prove it generally; if the insight is the contribution, prove it where it is cleanest and discuss extension in aejmic-robustness.

5. Where proofs live

  • Short, illuminating proofs (or proof sketches) in the main text; long or routine proofs in the appendix. The main paper should be self-contained for the key results — do not hide a load-bearing proof in supplementary material.

Checklist

  • Primitives stated explicitly; each assumption marked substantive vs. WLOG, with economic motivation
  • Solution concept named, matched to the question, with existence (and uniqueness/characterization where relevant)
  • Main result stated as a numbered Proposition/Theorem in words a non-specialist can parse
  • Proof architecture chosen and stated; candidate optima verified global, both directions of a characterization proved
  • Generality-vs-tractability call made deliberately, with the cost of any simplification stated
  • Key proofs in main text; appendix carries the rest; main paper self-contained

Anti-patterns

  • A model loaded with assumptions, several only for tractability, none flagged — the mechanism is invisible
  • Asserting an equilibrium without existence, or invoking a refinement only to rescue the result
  • "It can be shown that…" standing in for a proof of a load-bearing claim
  • Maximal generality that obscures the economic point (reads as JET, not AEJ: Micro), or a one-off example with no result that travels
  • A first-order condition presented as if it established a global optimum

Worked vignette: a screening result (illustrative)

A monopolist screens buyers with private values. A weak setup throws in a continuum of types and three frictions at once; the optimal-contract characterization becomes a thicket. The AEJ: Micro move: start with two types, derive the standard "no distortion at the top, downward distortion below" characterization as a clean Proposition, prove it by the relaxed-program-then-verify-monotonicity architecture, then in aejmic-robustness show the continuum case preserves the qualitative result. The two-type model is the simplest environment where the distortion is visible — and the result travels.

Output format

【Model】players / actions / information / timing / payoffs (substantive vs. WLOG flagged)
【Solution concept】[Nash/SPE/PBE/IC/stability/…] + existence/uniqueness
【Main result】Proposition stated in words
【Proof architecture】[construction / revelation+optimize / fixed-point / duality / induction / impossibility]
【Generality call】where proved + cost of any simplification
【Proofs live】main text: [...]; appendix: [...]
【Next step】aejmic-identification (what makes it tight) or aejmic-robustness (extensions)

Supplementary resources

信息
Category 未分类
Name aejmic-theory-model
版本 v20260724
大小 6.38KB
更新时间 2026-07-28
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