技能 数据科学 宏观经济量化展示最佳实践

宏观经济量化展示最佳实践

v20260724
red-tables-figures
本指南提供了撰写宏观动态经济学论文量化展示的最佳实践。涵盖了脉冲响应函数(IRFs)、参数校准表、矩匹配结果和政策反事实等关键组件。核心在于确保模型的机制和量化拟合度清晰、易读、自包含,以满足学术期刊的高标准要求。
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Tables & Figures for RED (red-tables-figures)

When to trigger

  • Building the exhibits that carry a quantitative dynamic paper
  • Deciding how to show model-vs-data fit and the mechanism behind a result
  • Making IRFs and policy experiments legible at print resolution

Exhibits that fit RED

RED papers live or die on whether the mechanism and the quantitative fit are visible. Favor:

  • Impulse-response functions (IRFs) — the workhorse figure for dynamic models; plot model responses to the key shocks, overlay alternative parameterizations to isolate the mechanism, and (where relevant) overlay empirical responses.
  • Calibration table — every parameter, value, source/target, and status (calibrated/estimated/assumed), so a reader can audit discipline at a glance.
  • Moment-matching table — targeted and untargeted moments side by side, model vs data; untargeted fit is a credibility highlight, so give it prominence.
  • Policy / counterfactual experiment figures — show the magnitude of the dynamic effect and the transition path, not just steady-state comparisons.
  • Accuracy diagnostics — Euler-equation errors or convergence plots where the computation is non-trivial.

Make each exhibit self-contained: numbered, called out in order, with notes stating the model variant, shock, units, and data source. Author-year citations in notes match RED's reference system.

Execution bridge (StatsPAI / Stata MCP)

Generate exhibits from the fitted result, not by retyping numbers. Full map: execution-with-mcp. RED is quantitative macro — mostly structural/calibration, which is outside this causal-inference toolchain; apply the chain to its empirical/reduced-form papers.

  • Tables: etable (multi-model) or did_summary_to_latex straight from the result_id.
  • Figures: plot_from_result / enhanced_event_study_plot / event_study_table — axis units and the SE/clustering note baked in.
  • Every note names the estimator + clustering and states the magnitude in interpretable units.

See a full fitted-result → exhibit chain in the JF execution walkthrough.

Checklist

  • IRFs / transition paths show the mechanism, not just outcomes
  • Calibration and moment tables let a reader audit discipline and fit
  • Untargeted moments are reported, not hidden
  • Every exhibit is self-contained, numbered, and legible at print resolution

Anti-patterns

  • Steady-state-only comparisons that hide the dynamics
  • Moment tables showing only targeted moments
  • Figures with no notes on model variant, shock, or units

Exhibit sequence

For most RED papers, the exhibit order should mirror the argument:

  1. Mechanism figure: state variables or transition paths that show the dynamic force.
  2. Discipline table: parameters, calibration targets, estimation targets, and sources.
  3. Fit table: targeted and untargeted moments, model vs data.
  4. Counterfactual/experiment: the quantitative result or policy path.
  5. Accuracy/reproducibility note: solver error, convergence, seed, or runtime when computation matters.

If the first exhibit is a static regression table, ask whether the paper is really using RED's dynamic lens or drifting toward a field journal.

Mock moment table (model vs data)

The fit table referees scan first should look like this (all numbers illustrative):

Table X: Targeted and untargeted moments
                                     Data    Model   Source
Targeted
  Wealth-to-income ratio             2.90    2.90    NIPA / Flow of Funds
  Share with negative net worth      0.135   0.132   SCF
Untargeted
  Wealth Gini                        0.78    0.74    SCF
  Top-10% wealth share               0.71    0.66    SCF
  Average quarterly MPC              0.16    0.19    literature estimates (author-year)
Notes: model moments from the stationary distribution; simulation of 100,000
households; seed recorded in the archive readme.

The Targeted/Untargeted split must be typographically explicit — a single undifferentiated column invites the circularity objection from quantitative-macro referees.

Exhibit-budget anchor

Hedged anchor (verify against recent RED issues rather than treating it as policy): mainline quantitative papers commonly carry on the order of 4–8 main-text exhibits — typically one mechanism/IRF figure, a calibration table, a fit table, and one or two counterfactual exhibits — with accuracy diagnostics and extended sensitivity in an appendix. Treat that as a budget: each additional main-text exhibit must change what the reader believes about the mechanism or the magnitude.

Figure-craft pushback

Exhibit complaint Fix for a dynamics paper
IRFs without units or horizon labels percent vs pp deviation, quarters vs years, stated on axes and in notes
Counterfactual shown only at the new steady state add the transition path — adjustment dynamics are often the contribution
Mechanism overlays illegible in grayscale vary line style, not only color; print-test the PDF
Distributional result collapsed to a mean plot the policy function or the cross-sectional shift; heterogeneity is usually the point

Supplementary resources

信息
Category 数据科学
Name red-tables-figures
版本 v20260724
大小 5.88KB
更新时间 2026-07-29
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